Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 6.779884 7.740241 8.799622 10.056832 11.510607 13.141771 15.114769
2025-07-06 5.392143 6.613421 8.068308 9.936192 12.280697 15.139017 18.907657
2025-07-13 4.741091 6.128043 7.876416 10.256320 13.433306 17.558583 23.370348
2025-07-20 4.250990 5.733018 7.689159 10.482750 14.406850 19.777224 27.777247
2025-07-27 3.931050 5.500863 7.657622 10.870264 15.590872 22.360878 32.964077
2025-08-03 3.487032 5.034534 7.234323 10.631276 15.819890 23.568774 36.247244
2025-08-10 3.146999 4.674205 6.913405 10.486951 16.143047 24.912218 39.855145
2025-08-17 2.864030 4.365613 6.630631 10.356724 16.451851 26.236684 43.557212
2025-08-24 2.614932 4.082067 6.353791 10.197398 16.680487 27.432617 47.158880
2025-08-31 2.391016 3.815724 6.075907 10.001321 16.814893 28.466002 50.576236
2025-09-07 2.312503 3.775300 6.154806 10.401179 17.995331 31.403644 57.769885
2025-09-14 2.188226 3.646819 6.074141 10.514460 18.675728 33.516052 63.674362
2025-09-21 2.040468 3.468251 5.896703 10.446144 19.031749 35.095750 68.804130
2025-09-28 1.897525 3.285952 5.696773 10.316615 19.257597 36.450366 73.658120
2025-10-05 1.838502 3.246650 5.745452 10.649756 20.398199 39.697180 82.864540
2025-10-12 1.769862 3.183616 5.744410 10.885584 21.367872 42.704608 91.966443
2025-10-19 1.728465 3.166955 5.826635 11.289255 22.715850 46.638233 103.678432
2025-10-26 1.608104 2.991687 5.593794 11.040296 22.679297 47.627273 108.747927
2025-11-02 1.509975 2.851616 5.417586 10.889959 22.834858 49.046082 115.026002
2025-11-09 1.421659 2.724067 5.255836 10.754312 23.006560 50.515284 121.627293
2025-11-16 1.337187 2.597955 5.087190 10.588364 23.092479 51.794208 127.926435
2025-11-23 1.255435 2.471500 4.908326 10.384150 23.069765 52.813462 133.695521
2025-11-30 1.240024 2.479497 5.007184 10.800617 24.529525 57.546783 150.048110